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RF

R F INDUSTRIES LTD (RFIL)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY2025 delivered another strong quarter: revenue $19.79M (+17.5% YoY, +4.7% QoQ), gross margin 34% (+450 bps YoY), operating income $0.72M, GAAP diluted EPS $0.04, non-GAAP EPS $0.10, and adjusted EBITDA $1.56M (8% of sales) .
  • Material beats vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $19.79M vs $18.52M* and EPS $0.10 vs $0.06*; strength driven by higher-margin mix (DAC cooling, small cell, aerospace) and operating leverage as volumes scale .
  • Bookings and backlog remained healthy: Q3 bookings $24.5M; backlog $19.7M at quarter-end and $16.1M currently, supporting near-term visibility .
  • Qualitative Q4 guide: management expects Q4 net sales similar to Q3 and gross margin to remain “north of 30%,” implying continued mix quality and cost discipline .
  • Catalysts: expanding pipeline (100+ venues), traction in edge data centers and transportation, and potential credit facility refinancing to lower interest costs .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Mix shift toward higher-value solutions (DAC thermal cooling, small cell, aerospace) lifted gross margin to 34% and supported adjusted EBITDA at 8% of sales; management believes 10% is within reach .
  • Diversification of customers and end-markets (aerospace, transportation, data centers, venues) reduced reliance on Tier 1 carrier CapEx and tapped OpEx budgets; bookings broad-based across products .
  • Execution and cost discipline: four consecutive operating-profit quarters, improved operating leverage from higher sales volumes, and process/IT enhancements to scale .

What Went Wrong

  • Tariff uncertainty persists; management increased inventory in certain categories to mitigate impacts, which can temporarily elevate working capital and complicate supply chain planning .
  • Debt remains in use: $7.8M drawn on revolver at Q3-end; while financing terms may improve, interest expense still weighs below the line .
  • Quarterly mix sensitivity: modest shifts in product timing can swing margins, limiting precision of near-term margin guidance despite confidence in 30%+ levels .

Financial Results

Quarterly Performance vs Prior Periods and S&P Global Consensus

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net Sales ($USD)$19.20M $18.91M $19.79M
Gross Profit Margin %29.8% 31.5% 34.0%
Operating Income ($USD)$0.056M $0.106M $0.720M
Net Income ($USD)$(0.245)M $(0.245)M $0.392M
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$(0.02) $(0.02) $0.04
Non-GAAP EPS$0.04 $0.07 $0.10
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD)$0.867M $1.121M $1.556M
Bookings ($USD)$14.9M $18.7M $24.5M
Backlog at Quarter-End ($USD)$15.2M $15.0M $19.7M
Backlog (Current, “as of today”) ($USD)$15.0M $18.4M $16.1M

Actuals vs S&P Global Consensus

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue Estimate ($USD)$18.458M*$17.238M*$18.520M*
Revenue Actual ($USD)$19.20M $18.91M $19.79M
EPS Estimate ($USD)$0.03*$0.04*$0.06*
EPS Actual (Primary/Non-GAAP) ($USD)$0.04 $0.07 $0.10

Note: Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Year-over-Year Reference (Q3 2024)

MetricQ3 2024
Net Sales ($USD)$16.84M
Gross Profit Margin %29.5%
Operating Income (Loss) ($USD)$(0.419)M
Net Income (Loss) ($USD)$(0.705)M
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$(0.07)
Non-GAAP EPS$(0.01)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD)$0.460M

Segment breakdown: Not disclosed; revenue is reported on a consolidated basis .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net SalesQ3 2025“Roughly in line with Q2” ($18.9M) Actual $19.79M (delivered) Beat prior guide
Net SalesQ4 2025None specific“Similar to Q3” net sales Initiated (qualitative)
Gross Margin %Q4 2025Target 30%+ (ongoing) Expect “north of 30%”; low–mid 30% possible but mix-dependent Maintained (qualitative)
Adjusted EBITDA MarginMedium-termGoal ≥10% “Within reach,” driven by mix and leverage Maintained

No explicit numeric guidance provided for OpEx, OI&E, tax rate, dividends in Q3 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
DAC thermal coolingNext-gen DAC launched; energy-efficient, NEMA 4; OpEx-funded; up to 70% opex savings vs HVAC; gaining momentum Continued traction across telecom, energy, transportation; partner trials for edge data centers Strengthening
Small cell & DAS (venues)100+ pipeline; larger deployments moving forward Pipeline >100 venues; positioned for Olympics/World Cup buildouts Building
Tariffs/macroManaged with diversified supply chain; delays minimal; plan to tweak pricing Ongoing uncertainty; nominal price increases; proactive mitigation; inventory raised in certain categories Persistent headwind but contained
Customer diversificationBroader end-markets (aerospace, public safety, OEM); less reliance on Tier 1 CapEx Aerospace, transportation, data centers contributing; deeper relationships within carriers tapping OpEx budgets Improving resilience
Edge data centersOpportunity emerging with partners; DAC fit for edge cooling Active market trials with major cabinet/enclosure partner Advancing
Credit facility/financingExploring more favorable terms; lender interest Actively assessing borrowing costs; expect more advantageous arrangements Potential cost relief
Supply chain/processStreamlining procurement; process/IT enhancements; inventory down in Q2, selective increases for tariffs Real-time decisioning, stage gate discipline; aligning engineering with market demand Operational maturity

Management Commentary

  • “Adjusted EBITDA was $1.6 million which is 8% of net sales… our goal of adjusted EBITDA of at least 10% is within reach.” — Rob Dawson, CEO .
  • “Higher value solutions like DAC thermal cooling and small cell products continue to gain traction… aerospace, transportation, and data center markets are now contributors in our sales pipeline.” — Rob Dawson, CEO .
  • “We expect that our fiscal fourth quarter net sales will be similar to what we delivered in Q3.” — Rob Dawson, CEO .
  • “We increased inventory levels in certain product categories to mitigate pending tariff impacts, while our ongoing cost reduction programs remain on track.” — Ray Bibisi, President & COO .
  • “Gross profit margin… driven by higher margin product mix and ongoing efforts to drive cost savings and operating efficiencies.” — Peter Yin, CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Gross margin drivers and outlook: Mix shift toward DAC/small cell/aerospace plus operating leverage at ~$19–20M sales levels; management expects margins “north of 30%,” with quarterly variability from mix/timing .
  • Pipeline breadth and bookings: Diversity across customers and product lines reduces concentration risk; multiple customers now contributing ~$1M+ quarterly, aiding stability .
  • Venues timing: Multi-quarter/multi-year deployments; contribution expected through FY2026 given Olympics/World Cup schedule and campus projects .
  • Path to 10% EBITDA: Combination of higher sales base, cost efficiencies, product mix, and expected reduction in financing costs from credit facility changes .
  • Tariffs: Exposure limited to certain components; nominal price increases; proactive inventory management and supply chain diversification to mitigate .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 FY2025 delivered a notable beat: revenue $19.79M vs $18.52M* and EPS $0.10 vs $0.06*, driven by higher-margin mix (DAC/small cell/aerospace) and operating leverage .
  • Trend of beats sustained: Q1 ($19.20M vs $18.46M*, $0.04 vs $0.03*) and Q2 ($18.91M vs $17.24M*, $0.07 vs $0.04*) .
  • Implication: Consensus likely to drift higher for near-term quarters on revenue/margins; FY adjustments should reflect sustained 30%+ GM and mix resiliency.
    Note: Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mix-led margin expansion is durable: DAC and small cell, plus aerospace/custom assemblies, are lifting gross margins and EBITDA; management targets remain ≥10% EBITDA over time .
  • Near-term revenue visibility: Q4 sales guided “similar to Q3,” supported by $19.7M quarter-end backlog and continued bookings momentum .
  • Diversification mitigates carrier CapEx cycles: Deeper relationships tap OpEx budgets; growth in venues, transportation, and edge data centers broadens demand sources .
  • Operational leverage: At ~$19–20M revenue run-rate, fixed-cost absorption enhances profitability; process/IT improvements add scalability .
  • Tariffs a manageable headwind: Diversified supply chain and selective inventory build help mitigate; nominal pricing actions as needed .
  • Potential financing tailwind: Expected refinancing of credit facility could reduce interest burden, aiding EPS/EBITDA conversion .
  • Trading implications: Continued estimate beats and qualitative Q4 guide can support near-term momentum; watch for updates on venue pipeline wins and edge data center trials as narrative drivers .

No additional Q3 press releases beyond the earnings 8-K were found [ListDocuments: press-release none].